鲜花( 1181) 鸡蛋( 48)
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刚一说减产,WCS已经涨回30以上了。' a( ^( E: y) ~0 S/ _4 s q. Z1 I
建议额外再减10%
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- J) Q! Y* n3 K/ [, M' OCanadian oil prices are suddenly on a tear# w# g. U2 D# s: H
, ]* e; v2 W" z; c1 k) K' M2 h4 ~7 S. J, rMATT LUNDY3 W: T! R: R" J" q2 c; [
PUBLISHED DECEMBER 7, 2018
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$ [! o& n; U$ L7 t9 l# ]6 d0 KWeeks after hitting an all-time low, Canada’s heavy-oil benchmark is on a roll, surging again on Friday and narrowing its discount to U.S. crude.$ [. ^4 n& S" D/ r6 n I# r
7 v3 N) y' t1 F, G' Y- PWestern Canadian Select hit US$37.61 a barrel on Friday, up 14 per cent from Thursday’s close, marking the latest round of gains after Alberta Premier Rachel Notley announced production cuts, to take effect in January, aimed at lifting rock-bottom prices. Faced with a pipeline bottleneck and rising inventories, Alberta’s oil prices had plummeted in recent months, with WCS hitting a record low of less than US$14 in November./ a. c6 S8 h8 r: `$ B
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This week’s rally has resulted in a significant narrowing of the price differential between WCS and West Texas intermediate, the U.S. benchmark. WCS now sells for a US$15-a-barrel discount to WTI; in October, the price gap had ballooned to US$50, the largest discount in Bloomberg data going back to 2008. A key metric in the oil patch, the differential is now slightly better than the historical average of US$17.37.+ E* W) G: G6 J. E x! m
, ?9 k5 k2 N. e. B; ~% L# cFriday’s rally also puts WCS in the neighborhood of some long-range estimates. Joan Pinto, associate and energy specialist at CIBC Capital Markets, issued a forecast this week that pegged WCS at an average price of US$40.50 a barrel in 2019 and US$41.75 the following year.: B W8 R& {+ w7 B( Z
$ J) X1 y1 `% Z7 s0 `3 C- M2 o7 V+ dGlobal oil prices rose on Friday after “OPEC-plus” announced a bigger-than-expected cut to crude production. (“OPEC-plus” refers to the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries, along with other producers that had agreed to a previous supply cap, such as Russia.) WTI climbed 1.4 per cent to US$52.22 a barrel, and Brent crude was up 2.2 per cent to US$61.39, as of late Friday. |
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